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January 2024

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Republicans will select their nominee to face Democratic President Joe Biden in the US presidential contest on Monday in the state of Iowa. Not only is this election being monitored in the US, but also globally. The US is now embroiled in two hot conflicts: the Gaza and Ukraine. In the meantime, tensions in the Asia-Pacific area have increased and US-China relations have gotten worse. Nearer to home, Central American countries are in the news as more and more people attempt to cross the border into the US through an increasingly permeable barrier. Additionally, there were airstrikes in Yemen spearheaded by the US against the Houthi rebels. The already turbulent situation is made more unpredictable by the possibility of Republican Donald Trump winning re-election and implementing his America First foreign policy platform.

A few nations eagerly await his return. However, a lot of America’s allies are more worried about the potential return of an unconventional president that they struggled to work with in the past. Thus, even though this is an American election, the outcome matters greatly to other nations. Mr. Trump promised to end the conflict «in 24 hours» of winning the presidency, but he did not specify who would do it or how.

Looking at the possibility of Trump getting a 2nd run as the president, according to the most recent Reuters/Ipsos survey of Republican voters, Trump is leading his competitors by almost 40 percentage points for the Republican presidential nomination. This is an incredible turnaround for a one-term president who seemed defeated and humiliated three years ago.

Middle Eastern nations might applaud a shift in Washington. For instance, Joe Biden referred to Saudi Arabia as a pariah state during the 2020 campaign. The Taliban are now firmly in power following the disastrous US pullout from Afghanistan, which occurred months into his term. A shift from Joe Biden to another leader of state would imply less intervention and disapproval for the Middle East from Washington. People watch the fortunes of US election candidates and pay attention to the outcome from Beijing to Buenos Aires. It is the only election with a really worldwide viewership.

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Public Disapproval

According to the White House, the economy is doing well, with inflation having decreased from a peak of over 9% in June 2022 to 3.4% as of December, and unemployment having dropped to an almost historic low of 3.7% from 6.3% when Trump left office. However, many voters in the US, among other large segments of the public, hold opposing views. They point to wages not keeping pace with the expense of necessary products and services such as groceries, cars, housing, child and elder care. Inflation is, in fact, on the rise.

Polls indicate that, despite Trump’s meek plans, the majority of voters believe Republicans are stronger economic stewards. As for Trump, millions of voters disagree, despite criticism from members of his own party, the Democratic Party, and the media that he is unsuitable to hold public office. Rather, a large number of his fans now believe that Trump is the victim of a witch hunt in politics. In a poll conducted earlier this year by Reuters/Ipsos, at least half of Republicans stated they would vote for Trump without any issues.

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US Meddling in the Election Process of Other Countries

Between 1946 and 2000, the United States attempted to influence political processes in other nations at least 81 times, and in one-third of these situations, the meddling was carried out «publicly,» according to the study.

More than any other country in the world, the United States attempts to meddle with the outcome of other countries’ elections. This was confirmed way back in 2016 in an interview with US Public Radio by Dov Levin, an American specialist on the subject and researcher at Carnegie Mellon University’s Institute of Political Life and Strategy in Pittsburgh (Pennsylvania).

Levin counted 36 such attempts in the Soviet Union and Russia during the same time period. He also listed other countries, including China and Venezuela under President Hugo Chávez, but did not provide specific numbers.

Very recently, the US pressured Bangladesh opposition party to boycott election. The US’s use of the same rhetoric in Bangladesh, emphasizing on the need for a «free and fair» election, raises concerns about Washington’s true intentions and interests in the country.

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